In his most recent column, former England midfielder Paul Merson shares his candid assessment of Chelsea’s ongoing decline and the mounting pressure on manager Liam Rosenior. The Blues have endured a dreadful spell, losing six of their last eight fixtures across all competitions, the most recent being a 1-0 defeat to Manchester United at Stamford Bridge on Saturday. That loss has left them teetering on the brink of missing out on a Champions League berth.

Chelsea now sit seven points adrift of fifth‑placed Liverpool with only five matches remaining in the Premier League season. The weekend’s results all went against them, and if they fail to beat Brighton on Tuesday night – a match that will be broadcast live on Sky Sports – they could find themselves as low as 11th place by the end of the week.

Such a slide would be unthinkable for a club that has been accustomed to fighting for top‑four spots in recent years. Merson does not mince words: “No Champions League football for Chelsea next season looks like the case now. I just don’t see how they get in, I’d be shocked if they did.” He emphasizes that the club is now battling merely to secure a place in European competition of any kind. With 33 league games already played, Chelsea are level on points with Brentford and Bournemouth, and a win by Sunderland over Aston Villa would push Chelsea further down the table.

The former player predicts a bleak outcome if Chelsea lose to Brighton, stating, “If they don’t beat Brighton on Tuesday, they could be 11th by the end of the week. And do I expect them to beat Brighton? No.” He does, however, acknowledge a tiny glimmer of hope: a victory over Brighton would keep their European hopes alive, especially if they can then defeat Nottingham Forest and, crucially, secure a win against Liverpool in a must‑win encounter later in the season.

Yet Merson points out that Chelsea have no remaining fixtures against any of the top‑five teams besides Liverpool, meaning they lack opportunities to close the gap on the clubs still in the Champions League race. The prospect of missing out on Europe is described as “a kick in the teeth” for a club that has become accustomed to regular continental football. Merson also questions the future of rising star Cole Palmer, suggesting he is unlikely to remain at Chelsea if the team ends up in the Europa Conference League, and speculates that Manchester United could be a more plausible destination for him next season. Turning to the transfer market, Merson argues that Chelsea must act decisively.

“They need a centre‑forward, badly. They need a goalkeeper,” he says, while praising the quality of their defensive midfield options – Moisés Caicedo, Romeo Lavia and Andrey Santos – but noting that an additional player with more creativity is required. He doubts that Enzo Fernández will leave, remarking, “No one’s paying £100 million for him, and Chelsea aren’t going to accept a loss on him.” Merson reflects on Rosenior’s precarious position.

The former Strasbourg manager arrived at a massive club and has been under the microscope from day one. “He’s always one defeat away from pressure,” Merson observes, pointing out that Rosenior has overseen just two wins in his eight matches in charge – those victories coming against lower‑league sides Wrexham and Port Vale – and five wins in his first 15 games overall. The results, he says, “haven’t been great.” The columnist also critiques Chelsea’s broader business model. He explains that the club’s strategy is built around buying talent, developing it, and selling it for profit, rather than simply spending to win trophies.

This model is a stark contrast to the era of Jose Mourinho, Antonio Conte and Thomas Tuchel, when the focus was squarely on silverware. Merson warns that the club’s younger fan base, many of whom have only known success, may struggle to accept this new reality. He briefly entertains the speculation that Andoni Iraola might be linked with the job, noting that the former Bournemouth manager would be a surprising appointment. Yet Merson doubts Iraola would remain unemployed for long, stating, “You don’t leave a Premier League club without knowing you have another job elsewhere.” He doubts that any of the top‑tier managers would be attracted to Chelsea’s current project, which he describes as “we’re not going to have too much experience, do your best and get us in the Champions League.” Ultimately, Merson concludes that Chelsea’s immediate priority is not winning the league but ensuring that their players improve and can be sold for a profit.

He underscores the urgency of the upcoming Brighton clash, urging fans to tune in: “Watch Brighton vs Chelsea live on Sky Sports on Tuesday night from 7.30 pm, kick‑off 8 pm.” The match could be the decisive moment that determines whether Chelsea’s season ends in disappointment or offers a sliver of redemption as they scramble for a place in next season’s European competitions.