A victory for Arsenal at Manchester City on Sunday would signify more than just a substantial step towards the Premier League title; it would serve as definitive proof of Mikel Arteta's ability to deliver under immense pressure. The highly anticipated clash at the Etihad Stadium, broadcast live on Sky Sports, is not necessarily a must-win for Arsenal in terms of the league standings, as a draw would suffice to maintain a safe distance from Manchester City with minimal room for error in the final month. However, for Arteta, with only a year left on his contract, a win would be a momentous occasion. In any case, Arsenal should be cautious of adopting a defensive strategy, as their previous draw at Manchester City in March 2024, when Liverpool held a two-point lead at the top, was perceived as a positive outcome but ultimately proved insufficient.

Arteta's tenure at the club is currently defined by an uncomfortable pattern of near misses, including a semi-final defeat in the Champions League, the Europa League, and twice in the League Cup, as well as a loss to City in the Carabao Cup final in March. The latest setback was their loss to Southampton in the FA Cup quarter-finals, which marked their furthest progress in the competition since their last victory. Arsenal have secured 12 points from the current top six, with only Manchester City remaining, whereas the average points taken by the 33 Premier League winners from their closest rivals en route to the title is 18. Beating the top six is not always decisive in a title race, but it is in these pivotal moments that titles and reputations are forged.

According to Sky Sports' Gary Neville, 'To win a title, you have to land a significant blow on your opponent, and it's time for Arteta and Arsenal to do that.' There was a period between May 2023 and August last year when Arsenal went 22 games unbeaten against the 'big six,' the longest such run in Premier League history, yet they have little to show for it. In the same season that they thrashed Manchester City 5-1 at the Emirates, Arsenal drew with champions Liverpool twice, exemplifying the paradox of Arteta's Arsenal: capable of matching anyone but still searching for the defining moment that truly establishes them. Arteta's time at Arsenal draws comparisons with Gareth Southgate's tenure as England manager, with both teams rebuilt from decline and taken to the brink of success not seen for decades, yet without securing silverware.

With Arteta set to enter the final year of his contract, the question remains how much longer Arsenal can continue to fall at the final hurdle. Thus, Sunday's showdown has become more than just a title decider; it is the ultimate test of Arteta's credentials.