Our football betting expert Jones Knows provides insight into the weekend's action, offering a 78/1 best bet treble. Regular readers know that exploiting value in the fouls market can be lucrative, and the resurgence of physical centre forwards has added a new dynamic to analysing foul markets. Brian Brobbey fits this mould, and his matchup with Ezri Konsa is ripe for a fouls bet. Konsa is adept at selling fouls and winning battles, averaging 1.5 fouls won per home game this season.
He's 4/5 with Sky Bet to win two or more fouls. Liverpool's inability to score in the first half away from home remains a sustainable edge to exploit, with the Reds scoring just three first-half goals in their last 17 away games. When combined with Everton's defensive soundness, the case for a Liverpool blank in the first half grows stronger. The Toffees have kept a first-half clean sheet in 10 of their 16 home games and haven't conceded a first-half home goal in their last four games.
It's 5/6 with Sky Bet for this trend to continue. Burnley's poor form, with one win in their last 23 Premier League matches, makes them an ideal opponent for teams seeking a confidence-boosting win.
This fixture is set up for Forest to take control, but don't expect a high-scoring game. Forest's wins are often built on structure and discipline, and they have scored just two goals in their last seven home games.
A Forest win and under 3.5 goals at 6/5 with Sky Bet is a promising bet. The matchup between Arsenal and Man City is a significant one, and backing the draw at 13/5 with Sky Bet is the shrewd move. Arsenal's attacking struggles are evident, with just three goals in their last five games, and the absence of Martin Odegaard and Bukayo Saka has significantly impacted their output. Mikel Arteta would likely accept a draw, and Arsenal should focus on their defensive strengths to shut down the game.
Chris Richards' potential matchup with Crysencio Summerville is a concern, as the West Ham winger has drawn the most yellow cards in the Premier League this season. Richards has been carded in two of his last three Premier League appearances, and the pressure of dealing with Summerville could lead to another card, which is a 9/2 chance with Sky Bet. A 1pt treble on Ayden Heaven to be carded, Man City to draw with Arsenal, and Chris Richards to be carded is available at 78/1 with Sky Bet.