Premier League Predictions: Liverpool Set for Stalemate with Everton
Football betting expert Jones Knows provides insight into the weekend's action and offers a 78/1 treble bet. Regular readers know that exploiting value in match-ups in the fouls market can be profitable. The resurgence of physical centre forwards has changed the dynamics of foul markets, with centre backs being fouled more often due to the aggressive nature of these strikers. Brian Brobbey is a prime example, racking up eight foul involvements against Spurs last weekend. His match-up with Ezri Konsa looks promising for a fouls bet, with Konsa averaging 1.5 fouls won per home game this season. Konsa is 4/5 with Sky Bet to win two or more fouls. Liverpool's inability to score in the first half away from home remains a sustainable edge to exploit, with the Reds scoring just three first-half goals in their last 17 away games. When combined with Everton's defensive soundness, the case for this bet grows stronger. The Toffees have kept a first-half clean sheet in 10 of their 16 home games and haven't conceded a first-half home goal in their last four games. It's 5/6 with Sky Bet for this to happen again. Burnley's poor form, with just one win in their last 23 Premier League matches, makes them an ideal opponent for teams struggling at the bottom. This is a fixture Forest must capitalize on, but don't expect a high-scoring game. Forest's wins are often built on structure and discipline rather than relentless attacking waves, and they have scored just two goals in their last seven home games. A Forest win and under 3.5 goals at 6/5 with Sky Bet stands out. The monster match between Arsenal and Man City is a prime example of a fixture where backing the unpopular bet is the shrewd move. Arsenal's problems are clear, having scored just three goals in their last five games, while Man City scored three goals in 17 minutes against Chelsea last weekend. The absence of Martin Odegaard and Bukayo Saka has significantly impacted Arsenal's attacking process. Mikel Arteta would likely accept a draw, and Arsenal should focus on their defensive strengths to shut down the game and win set-pieces. Sometimes, bets are less about the player being backed and more about the problem they face. This is the case with Chris Richards, who may find himself matched up against Crysencio Summerville, a winger who has drawn more yellow cards from opponents than anyone else in the Premier League. Richards has been carded in two of his last three Premier League appearances, making him a prime candidate for another card, which is a 9/2 chance with Sky Bet. A treble bet on Ayden Heaven to be carded, Man City to draw with Arsenal, and Chris Richards to be carded is available at 78/1 with Sky Bet.