Manchester City Expected to Oust Liverpool in FA Cup Quarter-Finals

The FA Cup quarter-finals are set to kick off with eight teams vying for a spot in the Wembley semi-finals. Top tipster Lewis Jones, also known as Jones Knows, provides expert betting insights across all four matches. Liverpool is under pressure to deliver significant performances and results in the coming week, or else Arne Slot may face intense scrutiny. However, the market only gives them a 3/1 chance of winning in 90 minutes, which is a fair assessment considering Manchester City's likelihood of progressing. One betting strategy to consider after an international break is backing low-scoring first halves, as it can be challenging for teams to score goals. Historical data supports this approach, showing a decrease in first-half goal averages in Premier League games following an international break. The numbers make sense, given that players may be fatigued from traveling and that breaks can disrupt team rhythm. For instance, 25 of the last 50 Premier League games after an international break have been 0-0 at half-time. Liverpool, in particular, has been a stale and safe team in first halves away from home, scoring only three first-half goals in their last 15 away games. A potentially lucrative bet is combining under 0.5 Liverpool first-half goals with under 1.5 total first-half goals, which is available at 10/11 with Sky Bet. Additionally, covering the 0-0 half-time score at 3/1 is also a good option. Port Vale, on the other hand, is a massive 28/1 underdog to win against Chelsea, which would be one of the greatest upsets in FA Cup history. While the outright betting market is unappealing, the cards market is more intriguing, given Chelsea's discipline issues. They have received the second-most yellow cards in the Premier League this season and have had the most players sent off. As a result, backing Chelsea to receive over 1.5 cards at 7/4 with Sky Bet is a rare opportunity. Southampton's set-piece defense is another area of concern, having conceded the most shots and goals from set pieces in their last 21 games. Arsenal's set-piece expertise makes them a formidable opponent, and Cristhian Mosquera is worth backing to have two or more shots at 2/1 with Sky Bet. The game between West Ham and Leeds has an interesting dynamic, as both teams have different priorities in the Premier League. However, West Ham is a more trustworthy team, and backing them on the draw no bet at 10/11 with Sky Bet is a good option, considering Leeds' poor away record.