Football betting expert Jones Knows provides his analysis of the upcoming weekend matches. A long-term betting strategy that has proven successful is expecting low-scoring matches at Wembley. Despite being a prestigious venue, Wembley seems to stifle the momentum of games, possibly due to the high stakes involved.
The statistics support this theory, with an average of 1.9 goals per game in the last 51 domestic and European matches at Wembley. Notably, 92% of these games have resulted in under 3.5 goals, making it a promising bet at 4/11. Another potential betting opportunity lies in the fouls market, where a combination of player role, matchup, and price can create a favorable wager.
Michael Kayode is likely to commit two or more fouls at 9/4 with Sky Bet, given his direct opponent, Matheus Cunha, who has a history of drawing fouls from defenders. Cunha's ability to create fouls, combined with Kayode's previous performance in the reverse fixture, makes this bet appealing. A suggested treble bet is Aston Villa to win, Wolves double chance, and Southampton to qualify for the FA Cup final, available at 36/1 with Sky Bet.