Paul Merson’s latest column offers a candid assessment of Chelsea’s ongoing decline and the mounting pressure on manager Liam Rosenior. The Blues have endured a dismal spell, losing six of their last eight fixtures across all competitions, the most recent setback being a 1-0 defeat to Manchester United at Stamford Bridge. This loss has left them in a precarious position when it comes to securing a spot in next season’s Champions League. At present, Chelsea sit seven points adrift of fifth‑placed Liverpool with only five games remaining in the campaign.

The weekend’s results all went against them, and a defeat to Brighton on Tuesday – a match that will be broadcast live on Sky Sports – could see the club tumble as low as 11th place by the end of the week. Such a slide would be a stark illustration of how far the club has fallen from the heights it once regularly occupied. Merson does not mince words about the likelihood of Champions League football for the Blues next season.

"I just don’t see how they get in; I’d be shocked if they did," he writes. Yet, he acknowledges that Chelsea are still fighting for a place in European competition, albeit a lower tier.

After 33 games, Chelsea are level on points with Brentford and Bournemouth, and a win for Sunderland at Aston Villa would push Chelsea further down the table. The former player questions whether Chelsea can even beat Brighton. "Do I expect them to win? No," he says, noting that a victory would only provide a slim chance of staying in contention for a European spot, and that would still require a win against Liverpool later in the season – a daunting task for any side, let alone one battling a loss of form.

Merson also touches on the broader implications of missing out on the Champions League. He believes it would be a severe blow to the club’s ambitions and finances. He speculates on the future of rising star Cole Palmer, suggesting that if Manchester United secure a Champions League berth, Palmer could end up playing at that level next season, perhaps even elsewhere. When it comes to the squad, Merson highlights several glaring deficiencies.

Chelsea desperately need a reliable centre‑forward and a top‑class goalkeeper. While the midfield boasts promising talents such as Moisés Caicedo, Romeo Lavia and Andrey Santos, the team lacks an additional creative spark to unlock stubborn defenses. He also doubts that Enzo Fernández will depart, noting that no club is willing to meet a £100 million price tag, and Chelsea are unlikely to accept a loss on such an asset.

Regarding Rosenior, Merson expresses sympathy. The former Strasbourg manager stepped into a massive role and has been under pressure from the outset. In his eight games in charge, Rosenior has secured just two victories – against lower‑league sides Wrexham and Port Vale – and only five wins in 15 matches overall.

The results have been far from impressive, and the future of his tenure appears uncertain. Merson reflects on the club’s overarching strategy, which he describes as a model focused on buying players, developing them, and selling them for profit.

He points out that many younger fans, particularly those in their mid‑twenties, have only ever known Chelsea as a trophy‑winning powerhouse. The shift away from the era of managers like José Mourinho, Antonio Conte and Thomas Tuchel signals a fundamental change in philosophy.

He briefly mentions the possibility of Andoni Iraola taking the helm, noting that Iraola would be coming from Bournemouth. However, Merson doubts that such a high‑profile manager would accept a job at a club that appears to be in turmoil, especially given the recent poor results against Newcastle and the looming pressure. In conclusion, Merson emphasizes that Chelsea’s primary objective should no longer be winning the league but rather developing players and ensuring financial sustainability. The club must focus on improving individual performances, securing a place in at least one European competition, and avoiding the financial pitfalls of a prolonged slump.

Fans can watch the crucial Brighton versus Chelsea clash live on Sky Sports on Tuesday, with kickoff scheduled for 8 p.m. after a 7:30 p.m. pre‑match build‑up.

This game could be pivotal in determining whether the Blues can salvage a respectable finish or slip further into mediocrity.