Assessing Arne Slot's complaints after Liverpool's Champions League exit
Following Liverpool's Champions League elimination at the hands of Paris St-Germain, we examine the validity of Arne Slot's post-match comments regarding the team's struggles this season... Arne Slot has consistently expressed frustration with Liverpool's inability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, and this sentiment was echoed after the team's failed to score despite having 1.92 Expected Goals (xG) against the European champions. "Unfortunately, this is one of many instances this season where we have been unable to convert our chances into goals," Slot stated. "Once again, we underperformed in terms of xG, a trend that has persisted throughout the season." The data supports Slot's claim, particularly in the Champions League, where Liverpool has scored 24 goals from 27.8xG, the largest underperformance among quarter-finalists. However, the Premier League paints a different picture, with Liverpool's goal tally only 0.65 below their xG total. While this is some way off teams like Arsenal (+7) and Manchester City (+5.45), there are nine teams with a worse differential than Liverpool. What is more concerning for Slot is the number of big chances missed, including two against PSG. Only Aston Villa have a worse conversion rate of Opta-defined big chances in the Premier League this season. Liverpool have missed 59 of 86 clear-cut openings in the top flight, with Curtis Jones, Florian Wirtz, and Alexis Mac Allister among the players with the biggest underperformance of their individual xG totals. The absence of key players due to injury has also hindered the team's performance. Alexander Isak, who was signed for £125m from Newcastle, has struggled with injuries all season, including a broken leg that sidelined him in December. Tuesday's match was his first start since recovering from the injury. The plan at the start of the season was for Isak and fellow summer signings Florian Wirtz and Hugo Ekitike to form a new-look £320m attack. However, Ekitike's injury against PSG added to Liverpool's frustrating night, and Slot noted that he hasn't had the opportunity to use these three players together often enough. First-choice keeper Alisson has also missed game time with hamstring problems, while other players like Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni, Jeremie Frimpong, Wataru Endo, and Joe Gomez have been out for significant spells. Another persistent complaint from Slot this season has been the frequency of decisions made by officials going against his team. The controversial call on Tuesday, with VAR overturning a penalty awarded to Mac Allister, was a prime example. Slot expressed his frustration, stating, "...another intervention of the VAR which was not in our favour, and that is not for the first time this season." He also referenced previous incidents, including a Brentford penalty awarded after a VAR check and a Leeds penalty awarded after the referee was sent to look at the monitor by VAR. When asked about his reaction to the penalty award against PSG being overturned, Slot responded, "If you look at our season, I'm not surprised, as so many decisions have gone against us this season." Despite acknowledging that Liverpool were fortunate with a couple of decisions in Paris in the first leg, Slot has made his frustration with the officials clear throughout the season. The pressure is now on Slot to secure a top-five finish in the league and guarantee a Champions League spot for next season. Sky Sports pundit Tim Sherwood stated, "Arne Slot needs to qualify for the Champions League to keep his job." However, Slot remains optimistic about the team's future, citing the quality of young players they have brought in. "The future looks very bright for this team, because we've shown that we can compete with the champions of Europe in our stadium, to be the dominant team," he reiterated. Players like Ryan Gravenberch (23), Ekitike (23), Wirtz (22), Bradley (22), and Milos Kerkez (22) have their best years ahead of them, while the potential of 17-year-old Rio Ngumoha holds plenty of promise. But Slot and Liverpool need results in the final six games of this Premier League campaign to capitalize on that potential next season as a Champions League club.