Premier League Predictions: Fulham Set to Deal Liverpool Another Blow
Jones Knows, our football betting expert, provides his analysis of the weekend's action and recommends a 50/1 best bet treble. One of the top bets is Yerson Mosquera to receive a card at 9/4 with Sky Bet, given his potential duel with Adama Traore. Traore has a history of drawing bookings, with 45 in 6,222 minutes of Premier League football under Nuno Espirito Santo. Mosquera is a combustible defender who has already picked up nine yellow cards this season and is at risk of a two-game ban with one more booking. At 9/4, the price underrates the likelihood of this specific matchup producing a booking. Another bet is Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals at 11/10 with Sky Bet, as they face Bournemouth, who have given up chances worth 11.54 expected goals in their last six matches. The long-term data supports a drop in first-half goal averages after an international break, making the 0-0 half-time score at 12/5 with Sky Bet a promising play. Draws have been common in the Premier League, landing at a rate of 35 per cent across the last 130 matches, making the 9/4 on the draw with Sky Bet a viable option. Liverpool's chances of finishing in the top five are drifting, and they have the toughest schedule ahead, making Fulham a tempting bet at 4/1 with Sky Bet. Newcastle to win and under 3.5 goals at 7/2 with Sky Bet is also a valuable play, given Oliver Glasner's record following a midweek European knockout game. Nottingham Forest have struggled to score at home, despite having the eighth most shots, making Elliott Anderson a good bet to hit two or more shots at 9/4. The appointment of Roberto De Zerbi at Spurs is a high-risk, high-reward move, and his volatility in a relegation scrap makes Spurs not to win another game this season at 15/2 with Sky Bet a worthwhile bet. Manchester City's relentlessness in the run-in is a key factor, with Nico O'Reilly thriving in high-pressure environments and his shots on target market offering value at 11/8 with Sky Bet. Manchester United are strong at home, but Leeds are a tough opponent, and Jayden Bogle is a good bet to pick up a card at 5/2 with Sky Bet.