Expert Predictions for the FA Cup Quarterfinals: West Ham Expected to Secure a Wembley Spot
The FA Cup quarterfinals feature eight teams vying for a spot in the Wembley semi-finals. Top tipster Lewis Jones, also known as Jones Knows, provides expert betting analysis for the upcoming matches. Port Vale, currently at the bottom of League One, are significant underdogs with 28/1 odds to win against Chelsea within 90 minutes. If they were to pull off this massive upset, it would be one of the most remarkable moments in FA Cup history. Although the outright betting market is unappealing, the cards market presents an interesting opportunity. Chelsea have struggled with discipline, receiving 71 yellow cards in the Premier League this season, the third-highest total. Additionally, they have had the most players sent off, with seven red cards. Given the significant mismatch between the teams, Chelsea's card expectancy is low, making the 7/4 odds with Sky Bet for them to receive over 1.5 cards an attractive option. Southampton may be vulnerable to Arsenal's set-piece expertise, as they have struggled to defend against set pieces. In their last 21 games, they have conceded an average of 5.5 shots per game from set pieces, the highest in the league, and have allowed 11 goals from set pieces during this period. With a Champions League match against Sporting coming up, Mikel Arteta may choose to rest some players, potentially giving Cristhian Mosquera another start. Mosquera has started the last two FA Cup ties and had a shot in both games. Considering Southampton's weakness in defending set pieces, backing Mosquera to have two or more shots at 2/1 with Sky Bet may be a good option. The dynamic of the West Ham vs. Leeds game is intriguing, as both teams have a lot to gain from winning but also have significant Premier League concerns. However, West Ham are more likely to win, especially considering Leeds' poor away record, with only two wins in 18 away games this season. Backing West Ham on the draw no bet at 10/11 with Sky Bet seems like a reasonable choice. Under Nuno Espirito Santo, West Ham have shown improvement in recent months, operating like a team on the rise in the Premier League. They have a good chance of securing a spot at Wembley.